Simon Scrope Dalby Screw-Driver Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

A winner three starts back and a runner-up two starts back, Noble Horizon arrives fit on 34 days' rest, has run over today's trip and going, and his overall profile makes him our pick despite the 142 lb burden from stall nine.

Ran well to finish second three starts back but has been out of the frame in his last two starts, and a winner six starts back suggests the consistency is the concern; has run over today's trip and going, and the quick seven-day turnaround from stall one at 142 lb makes this a tough ask.

Winless in his last five starts, Circus of Rome nevertheless brings distance and going experience to the table and, rated 96, shapes as a genuine threat from stall two — the chief concern is his sequence of unplaced efforts, which must be reversed here.

Auld Toon Loon catches the eye as the top-rated runner in the field, and his experience over today's distance and going is a solid foundation, but he arrives winless in his last five starts and connections will need that fourth last time out to signal a return to the third he posted four starts back.

Wahdan's pair of fourths earlier in this sequence show consistent engagement at this level, and he has run over today's distance and going, while a rating of 95 makes him a serious threat; the concern is he remains yet to win in his last six starts.