Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race)

Gregory won last time and has experience of today's trip and going, making him the one to beat off 134 lb; the 103-day absence is the one query, though his rating of 120 comfortably heads the field.

Arabian Force has been consistently placed in recent starts, with a third two starts back and a runner-up four starts back, showing he goes close at this level; the main risk is that last outing's sixth suggests he may be just finding the top rivals too strong when it matters, and he remains yet to win.

Burdett Road carries 131 lb off an official mark of 97, yet our rating of 107 suggests he is significantly better treated than that figure implies, making him a genuine threat; the risk is that he has been winless in his last six starts.

Goblet of Fire shaped well when second last time out and was a winner three starts back, but he has been beaten into third two starts back and carries 131 lb here, which tests his resolve; experience over today's trip and going at least confirms he handles the conditions.

Spirit Mixer arrives in fair nick on a 12-day turnaround and has run over today's trip and going, yet he is winless in his last six starts, with only a third six starts back offering any real encouragement, and 131 lb is no help.