Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Barleybrown shaped with promise when second three starts back and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating marking him out as the one to beat in this field; the risk is that he has been winless in recent starts and must bounce back from two disappointing efforts since.

Defence Missile won two starts back but has otherwise struggled, finishing outside the top five in three of his last five starts, and our figures rank him seventh of nine here. Has run over today's trip and returns after 32 days off, but he is hard to fancy at these weights.

Winless in his last three starts and ranked sixth of nine on our ratings, Thunder Rush does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, though his recent sequence of unplaced efforts offers little encouragement despite a feasible weight of 132 lb from stall one.

Winless in his last four starts and returning after a 310-day absence, Soham's Roger is a difficult proposition ranked last on our figures, with a speed rating of 44 underlining the concern; he has run over today's trip before, but that counts for little given the overall profile.

Here Comes Louie has finished second in two of his last five starts and returns here on fitting distance and going experience, carrying 129 lb from stall two, with our rating of 58 giving him strong claims — though he remains yet to win and that seventh last time out is the concern.