Brodie Handicap Stakes

Roc De Fer arrives in cracking nick, winning his last two starts and with his trainer firing at 31% over the past fortnight. He has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 80 marks him out as the one to beat, though the 141 lb burden is worth noting.

Simple Star shaped with promise when second three starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going bolsters his claims under 139 lb; the concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts and must find more on recent form.

Consistently hitting the frame — third last time out and a second three starts back — Sure And Stedfast arrives on a good freshness angle at 27 days, has experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 74 suggests he's ahead of his official mark; the risk is he's yet to score in recent starts.

A lengthy absence of 126 days makes Tommy's Promise hard to trust here, and ranked last on our figures he faces a stiff task; ninth last time out compounds the concern. He has run over today's trip and going, and two wins in his last five starts show there is ability to unearth if fit.

Alnayef showed up well with a third last time out and was a winner two starts back, but the trainer's current 5% strike rate over the last 14 days is a concern, and he carries a hefty 136 lb here.