Happy Birthday Colin Spencer Handicap Stakes (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier)

Talis Evolvere shaped well when second three starts back and returns here on a quick 19-day turnaround, with experience over today's trip and going and our rating of 93 marking him out as the one to beat — the risk is he's been winless in his last six starts.

Serenity Blue shaped with promise when third four starts back and returns here on going he has handled before, with our rating of 86 giving him a fighting chance; the concern is he has been winless in his last five starts, including two unplaced efforts since that placing.

Winless in her last five starts, Revelance does bring experience of today's trip and going, and 26 days since her last run leaves her fresh enough; a third and second in recent starts suggest ability, though her form has dipped since.

Nakaaha brings a win two starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making her a serious threat here; the risk is that unplaced effort last time out will need explaining away.

Auburn Avenue won last time out, which is a genuine tick, but she ranks last on our figures in this field and that one win in her last five starts is surrounded by a seventh two starts back and an eighth three starts back — a patchy profile that makes her hard to fancy at a mark of 71.