Guinness Handicap

Chicago Moon bounced back to winning ways last time out and, having run over today's going before, she arrives in good heart 23 days on. Carrying 140 lb is the one query, but on her best recent form she is the one to beat.

Winless in her last five starts, Mare Crisium nevertheless carries strong positives — she has experience over today's going, is fit from a run 16 days ago, and our rating puts her third-best in this field; the concern is that consistency has eluded her, with no finish better than fourth in recent starts.

Returned to winning ways last time out, but three unplaced efforts before that temper enthusiasm; Private Larry has experience on today's going and faces a competitive field carrying 137 lb, leaving him a tough ask from seventh in the ratings.

Winless in his last four starts, Sonny Corleone brings some going experience but the trainer's recent strike rate of just 4% gives little confidence, and a career-high 137 lb is a stiff ask for a horse rated 63.

Cascade Canyon has going experience to call on and our rating of 67 makes him a leading threat here, with a fourth three starts back hinting at better than his recent ninth suggests — yet winless in his last five starts, that inconsistency remains the key concern.