Hannah Blanchard 21st Birthday Handicap Stakes

Captain Cess arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going, yet he carries 138 lb from stall 2 and his speed rating of 54 suggests he may need to find more to confirm that recent improvement.

Miss Rainbow brings strong recent form — third two starts back and third three starts back — and has run over today's trip and going, while 11 days ago keeps her fresh; the worry is that fourth last time out suggests she just held form, and 137 lb is a stern burden to overcome.

Barmyblade won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a cold trainer strike-rate of just 3% over the past fortnight is a notable concern for a gelding rated 57 heading out from stall 8.

Lucius Aurelius ran third three starts back and struck in the fifth start listed, giving him a mix of promise and patchy recent form; he has run over today's distance and going, arrives fresh on 20 days' rest, and our rating of 63 puts him second of the eight, though the 136 lb burden is the obvious risk.

Howzak has been beaten out of the first four in three straight starts and, ranked last on our figures, makes no appeal at the weights. He has run over today's trip and going, and the 13-day turnaround suggests he's fit, but that's the limit of the case for him.