Happy Birthday Tyne Patterson Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Ranked top of five on our ratings, Independent Expert has experience of today's trip and conditions and returns on a sharp ten-day turnaround from stall four carrying 140 lb — the chief concern is her recent form, winless in her last six starts with a best finish of fifth.

Saucy Jane won two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going, with 19 days since her latest outing suggesting she arrives fresh; the risk is that she was only sixth last time out.

A second two starts back hints at better than her latest ninth suggests, and Q T Pie returns after 30 days with experience of today's distance and going in her favour — though connections will need more consistency from her.

Havana Halo has run over today's trip and going, arrives 21 days fresh from stall 3 carrying 127 lb, and her rating of 64 marks her as a live threat — yet she remains winless in her last five starts, and that consistency gap is the concern.

Winless in her last six starts, Lahina Bay does at least bring distance and going experience and a recent run nine days ago, but ranked last of five on our figures and carrying 122 lb from stall one, she faces a stiff task.