Ballyroan Stakes (Group 3)

Ranked bottom of nine on our figures and beaten in his last three starts, Ascending is hard to fancy despite carrying a manageable 135 lb; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a win and second in recent starts show he can perform when conditions click.

Winless in his last six starts, Dallas Star has at least shown consistency at this level, finishing second and third in recent starts, though seventh last time out after 47 days off is a concern; he has experience of today's trip and going, but his rating suggests he faces a stiff task from the middle of the field.

Ethical Diamond landed back-to-back wins three and four starts back and a further success five starts back, showing real consistency at the top level; he has experience over today's trip and going, and 135 lb is the primary concern after 47 days off.

Gaucher brings strong recent form to this contest — a winner three starts back and second two starts back show he fires in this sphere, and experience over today's trip and going is a plus; the 51-day absence is the one concern.

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