Noel C. Duggan Structural Steel 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle

Two wins in the last four starts, including one just two runs back, mark this out as the form horse in the race, backed up by our rating topping the entire field. A below-par fourth last time out, after a rapid 14-day turnaround, is the one blot to note.

A model of consistency with three frame finishes from the last five starts, including a win three runs back, and he already holds form over today's distance. The yard's poor recent strike rate is a mild concern, but his own solid recent form makes the stronger case here.

Back-to-back wins in the last two starts mark a big turnaround from a mixed run of results before that, and he already holds form over today's distance with barely a fortnight since his latest success. Our rating is still a touch below his official mark, so there's a question over whether the improvement fully sticks.

Lightly raced and still winless, with finishes of sixth, fourth, unplaced and third across four starts, there's more promise in that profile than the bare results suggest. A lengthy 133-day absence raises the obvious fitness question, but the placed efforts hint at more to come once he gets going again.

A win in the book and a rating above his official mark suggest more ability than the bare figures show. But the recent script is concerning — an unplaced effort last time out followed a fall the run before — with the yard's poor recent strike rate adding to the worry.